ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
20 Brigham Young over 128 Utah State 49.0 to 17.5
3 Boise State over 179 California - Davis 56.0 to 3.5
22 Iowa over 119 Arkansas State 38.5 to 7.0
94 Jacksonville State over 202 Tennessee - Martin 42.0 to 10.5
12 Cincinnati over 183 Miami - Ohio 49.0 to 10.5
38 Northern Iowa over 239 Indiana State 52.5 to 0.0
5 Oregon over 88 Washington State 45.5 to 10.5
47 Tulsa over 180 Rice 52.5 to 24.5
25 Texas Christian over 127 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 10.5
34 Texas Tech over 144 New Mexico 38.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
54 Hawaii over 142 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 24.5
68 Southern Mississippi over 166 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 21.0
17 West Virginia over 83 Colorado 38.5 to 17.5
67 Baylor over 145 Kent State 35.0 to 17.5
117 Brown over 163 Rhode Island 38.5 to 24.5
69 Central Michigan over 158 Buffalo 35.0 to 21.0
160 San Diego over 242 Butler 49.0 to 17.5
161 Central Connecticut over 236 Sacred Heart 42.0 to 14.0
95 Central Florida over 151 Memphis 35.0 to 17.5
229 Charleston Southern over 245 Savannah State 42.0 to 7.0
207 Drake over 243 Valparaiso 42.0 to 17.5
7 Virginia Tech over 110 Duke 42.0 to 10.5
62 James Madison over 154 Hofstra 31.5 to 14.0
118 Eastern Washington over 210 Idaho State 42.0 to 21.0
6 Ohio State over 75 Indiana 35.0 to 10.5
74 Harvard over 162 Lehigh 31.5 to 14.0
18 Clemson over 85 Maryland 35.0 to 17.5
146 Dayton over 235 Morehead State 31.5 to 10.5
97 North Dakota State over 150 Illinois State 38.5 to 24.5
84 Holy Cross over 194 Northeastern 38.5 to 21.0
121 Northeast Louisiana over 185 Florida International 35.0 to 17.5
125 San Diego State over 192 New Mexico State 35.0 to 17.5
41 South Carolina over 147 South Carolina State 38.5 to 7.0
157 Stony Brook over 214 Presbyterian 38.5 to 17.5
15 South Florida over 104 Syracuse 35.0 to 14.0
36 Houston over 149 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 21.0
77 New Hampshire over 188 Towson 35.0 to 14.0
112 Youngstown State over 196 Missouri State 31.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
213 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 234 Alcorn State 24.5 to 14.0
33 Arizona State over 65 Oregon State 31.5 to 17.5
198 Bucknell over 217 Georgetown 24.5 to 17.5
66 South Dakota State over 138 California Poly 31.5 to 17.5
120 Pennsylvania over 171 Dartmouth 28.0 to 17.5
141 Eastern Illinois over 168 Eastern Kentucky 21.0 to 14.0
170 Fordham over 206 Old Dominion 38.5 to 24.5
81 Delaware over 152 Maine 28.0 to 21.0
2 Oklahoma over 39 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 14.0
58 North Carolina over 87 Virginia 28.0 to 14.0
135 Northern Arizona over 204 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 14.0
178 Grambling over 215 Prairie View 28.0 to 17.5
190 Portland State over 212 Sacramento State 38.5 to 24.5
155 Princeton over 186 Columbia 24.5 to 14.0
63 Purdue over 99 Northwestern 42.0 to 28.0
159 Albany over 209 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 28.0 to 17.5
187 Samford over 211 Western Carolina 28.0 to 14.0
221 Tennessee State over 231 Southeast Missouri State 24.5 to 17.5
51 Villanova over 91 William & Mary 35.0 to 21.0
32 Wake Forest over 59 North Carolina State 28.0 to 17.5
90 Southern Illinois over 182 Western Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
86 Yale over 108 Lafayette 21.0 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
48 Pittsburgh over 78 Louisville 35.0 to 28.0
156 Army over 169 Tulane 28.0 to 17.5
30 Boston College over 26 Florida State 24.5 to 21.0
100 Bowling Green over 107 Ohio 28.0 to 24.5
199 Bryant over 200 Wagner 35.0 to 31.5
115 Colgate over 116 Cornell 24.5 to 17.5
208 Duquesne over 219 Robert Morris 17.5 to 10.5
126 Temple over 164 Eastern Michigan 24.5 to 21.0
122 Wyoming over 148 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 24.5
216 Howard over 224 Winston-Salem 24.5 to 17.5
82 Colorado State over 123 Idaho 31.5 to 24.5
42 Penn State over 72 Illinois 21.0 to 17.5
227 Davidson over 240 Jacksonville 28.0 to 21.0
14 Alabama over 50 Kentucky 28.0 to 21.0
76 East Carolina over 106 Marshall 28.0 to 24.5
28 Michigan over 53 Michigan State 35.0 to 35.0
31 Wisconsin over 73 Minnesota 31.5 to 24.5
114 Nevada - Reno over 111 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 24.5
70 Kansas State over 92 Iowa State 24.5 to 21.0
176 South Dakota over 201 North Dakota 35.0 to 31.5
109 Northern Illinois over 103 Western Michigan 24.5 to 21.0
44 Notre Dame over 56 Washington 28.0 to 21.0
35 Texas A&M over 55 Arkansas 35.0 to 31.5
153 Texas State - San Marcos over 197 Southern Utah 42.0 to 38.5
218 Tennessee Tech over 228 Austin Peay 31.5 to 24.5
134 Weber State over 165 Montana State 28.0 to 21.0
139 Wofford over 131 Georgia Southern 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
133 Ball State over 113 Toledo 35.0 to 35.0
203 Morgan State over 222 Bethune - Cookman 21.0 to 17.5
11 Southern California over 21 California 21.0 to 21.0
101 Furman over 93 Elon 28.0 to 28.0
10 Louisiana State over 16 Georgia 31.5 to 31.5
205 Jackson State over 195 Southern 28.0 to 28.0
220 Campbell over 233 Marist 17.5 to 17.5
29 Georgia Tech over 60 Mississippi State 24.5 to 21.0
57 Air Force over 61 Navy 31.5 to 31.5
232 North Carolina A&T over 230 North Carolina Central 21.0 to 21.0
24 California - Los Angeles over 37 Stanford 21.0 to 21.0
9 Auburn over 23 Tennessee 31.5 to 31.5
98 The Citadel over 89 Appalachian State 35.0 to 31.5
79 Vanderbilt over 71 Mississippi 17.5 to 14.0
193 Virginia Military over 191 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 31.5
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