Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 3 6.55 12.0-0.0 5.5-6.5 IA SEC Alabama 2 2 6.33 12.0-0.0 5.7-6.3 IA Big_12 Texas 3 1 6.27 12.0-0.0 5.7-6.3 IA SEC Florida 4 2 5.27 12.0-0.0 6.7-5.3 IA MWC Texas Christian 5 2 5.05 11.0-0.0 6.0-5.0 IA Big_East Cincinnati 6 3 4.90 12.0-0.0 7.1-4.9 IA WAC Boise State 7 3 4.89 10.0-2.0 5.1-6.9 IA ACC Georgia Tech 8 2 4.56 9.0-2.0 4.4-6.6 IA PAC_10 Oregon 9 2 4.17 10.0-2.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_Ten Iowa 10 3 3.99 9.0-3.0 5.0-7.0 IA ACC Miami - Florida 11 3 3.81 9.0-3.0 5.2-6.8 IA ACC Virginia Tech 12 3 3.78 10.0-2.0 6.2-5.8 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 13 4 3.74 9.0-3.0 5.3-6.7 IA SEC Louisiana State 14 4 3.50 8.0-3.0 4.5-6.5 IA PAC_10 Southern California 15 5 3.40 10.0-2.0 6.6-5.4 IA MWC Brigham Young 16 4 3.34 9.0-3.0 5.7-6.3 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 17 6 3.28 9.0-2.0 5.7-5.3 IA Big_East Pittsburgh 18 4 3.20 10.0-2.0 6.8-5.2 IA Big_Ten Penn State 19 5 3.15 8.0-3.0 4.9-6.1 IA PAC_10 California 20 4 3.05 9.0-3.0 5.9-6.1 IA Big_12 Nebraska 21 5 2.93 8.0-3.0 5.1-5.9 IA PAC_10 Oregon State 22 5 2.78 8.0-4.0 5.2-6.8 IA PAC_10 Stanford 23 6 2.68 10.0-2.0 7.3-4.7 IA CUSA Houston 24 7 2.58 8.0-3.0 5.4-5.6 IA Big_East West Virginia 25 8 2.44 8.0-4.0 5.6-6.4 IA ACC Clemson 26 17 2.43 7.0-5.0 4.6-7.4 IA SEC Georgia 27 8 2.38 9.0-3.0 6.6-5.4 IA MWC Utah 28 8 2.35 8.0-4.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_12 Missouri 29 10 2.35 10.0-2.0 7.7-4.3 IA MAC Central Michigan 30 9 2.28 7.0-4.0 4.7-6.3 IA PAC_10 Arizona 31 12 2.26 8.0-4.0 5.7-6.3 IA ACC North Carolina 32 9 2.15 8.0-4.0 5.9-6.1 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 33 10 2.14 7.0-5.0 4.9-7.1 IA SEC South Carolina 34 9 2.13 8.0-3.0 5.9-5.1 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 35 11 2.11 8.0-4.0 5.9-6.1 IA SEC Mississippi 36 8 2.05 8.0-4.0 5.9-6.1 IA ACC Boston College 37 8 1.93 7.0-5.0 5.1-6.9 IA SEC Arkansas 38 9 1.93 7.0-5.0 5.1-6.9 IA SEC Auburn 39 8 1.93 7.0-5.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 40 14 1.54 7.0-5.0 5.5-6.5 IA SEC Tennessee 41 9 1.43 9.0-3.0 7.6-4.4 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 42 11 1.35 8.0-3.0 6.6-4.4 IA Big_East Rutgers 43 14 1.35 8.0-4.0 6.6-5.4 IA Indep Navy 44 8 1.35 8.0-4.0 6.7-5.3 IA CUSA East Carolina 45 8 1.30 7.0-5.0 5.7-6.3 IA SEC Kentucky 46 9 1.21 6.0-6.0 4.8-7.2 IA ACC Florida State 47 9 1.14 6.0-6.0 4.9-7.1 IA PAC_10 California - Los Angeles 48 11 1.08 9.0-3.0 7.9-4.1 IA MAC Ohio 49 10 1.07 7.0-4.0 5.9-5.1 IA Big_East South Florida 50 8 1.04 8.0-4.0 7.0-5.0 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 51 16 1.03 9.0-3.0 8.0-4.0 IA MAC Temple 52 10 1.00 8.0-4.0 7.0-5.0 IA WAC Nevada - Reno 53 11 1.00 9.0-3.0 8.0-4.0 IA Sun_Belt Middle Tennessee State 54 8 0.88 8.0-4.0 7.1-4.9 IA CUSA Central Florida 55 7 0.77 7.0-4.0 6.2-4.8 IA WAC Fresno State 56 6 0.64 6.0-5.0 5.4-5.6 IA Big_East Connecticut 57 7 0.64 6.0-6.0 5.4-6.6 IA Indep Notre Dame 58 6 0.58 6.0-6.0 5.4-6.6 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 59 7 0.44 6.0-6.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_12 Texas A&M 60 13 0.32 5.0-7.0 4.7-7.3 IA SEC Mississippi State 61 7 0.17 6.0-6.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_12 Kansas State 62 7 0.14 7.0-5.0 6.9-5.1 IA MWC Air Force 63 8 -0.09 6.0-6.0 6.1-5.9 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 64 9 -0.09 7.0-5.0 7.1-4.9 IA WAC Idaho 65 8 -0.14 6.0-6.0 6.1-5.9 IA Big_12 Iowa State 66 10 -0.16 6.0-6.0 6.2-5.8 IA MWC Wyoming 67 9 -0.17 7.0-5.0 7.2-4.8 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 68 9 -0.24 7.0-5.0 7.2-4.8 IA CUSA Southern Methodist 69 8 -0.31 4.0-7.0 4.3-6.7 IA PAC_10 Washington 70 9 -0.32 7.0-5.0 7.3-4.7 IA MAC Bowling Green 71 12 -0.39 5.0-7.0 5.4-6.6 IA ACC Wake Forest 72 9 -0.56 5.0-7.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_12 Kansas 73 13 -0.78 6.0-6.0 6.8-5.2 IA CUSA Marshall 74 9 -0.84 5.0-7.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_Ten Purdue 75 12 -0.90 5.0-7.0 5.9-6.1 IA ACC Duke 76 17 -1.00 5.0-7.0 6.0-6.0 IA ACC North Carolina State 77 10 -1.08 4.0-8.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Baylor 78 12 -1.09 7.0-5.0 8.1-3.9 IA MAC Northern Illinois 79 12 -1.34 4.0-8.0 5.3-6.7 IA PAC_10 Arizona State 80 15 -1.39 5.0-7.0 6.4-5.6 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 81 18 -1.42 6.0-6.0 7.4-4.6 IA WAC Hawaii 82 10 -1.50 5.0-7.0 6.5-5.5 IA Big_Ten Michigan 83 13 -1.60 6.0-6.0 7.6-4.4 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 84 12 -1.73 4.0-8.0 5.7-6.3 IA Big_East Louisville 85 16 -1.73 6.0-6.0 7.7-4.3 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 86 10 -1.90 4.0-8.0 5.9-6.1 IA Big_East Syracuse 87 14 -1.92 5.0-7.0 6.9-5.1 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 88 12 -1.95 3.0-9.0 5.0-7.0 IA ACC Virginia 89 10 -2.07 3.0-8.0 5.1-5.9 IA Big_Ten Illinois 90 13 -2.27 5.0-7.0 7.3-4.7 IA CUSA Tulsa 91 10 -2.28 4.0-8.0 6.3-5.7 IA Big_Ten Indiana 92 11 -2.35 3.0-9.0 5.4-6.6 IA Big_12 Colorado 93 13 -2.39 5.0-7.0 7.4-4.6 IA MAC Toledo 94 16 -2.43 4.0-8.0 6.4-5.6 IA WAC Utah State 95 13 -2.50 5.0-6.0 7.5-3.5 IA Indep Army 96 10 -2.62 3.0-8.0 5.6-5.4 IA WAC Louisiana Tech 97 11 -2.67 5.0-7.0 7.7-4.3 IA MAC Buffalo 98 16 -2.68 4.0-8.0 6.7-5.3 IA MWC San Diego State 99 12 -2.92 4.0-7.0 6.9-4.1 IA Sun_Belt Florida Atlantic 100 20 -2.95 5.0-7.0 8.0-4.0 IA MAC Western Michigan 101 16 -3.04 5.0-7.0 8.0-4.0 IA MAC Kent State 102 12 -3.39 3.0-8.0 6.4-4.6 IA Sun_Belt Florida International 103 12 -3.39 2.0-*** 5.4-6.6 IA SEC Vanderbilt 104 17 -3.41 3.0-9.0 6.4-5.6 IA MWC Colorado State 105 14 -3.54 2.0-*** 5.5-6.5 IA ACC Maryland 106 12 -3.57 4.0-8.0 7.6-4.4 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 107 12 -3.67 1.0-*** 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_10 Washington State 108 11 -3.72 2.0-9.0 5.7-5.3 IA WAC San Jose State 109 9 -3.96 3.0-8.0 7.0-4.0 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 110 13 -3.98 3.0-9.0 7.0-5.0 IA CUSA Tulane 111 9 -4.34 2.0-*** 6.3-5.7 IA CUSA Rice 112 9 -4.48 3.0-9.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Akron 113 10 -4.49 2.0-*** 6.5-5.5 IA CUSA Memphis 114 16 -4.49 3.0-9.0 7.5-4.5 IA WAC New Mexico State 115 9 -5.02 1.0-*** 6.0-6.0 IA MWC New Mexico 116 9 -5.56 1.0-*** 6.6-5.4 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 117 10 -5.69 2.0-*** 7.7-4.3 IA MAC Ball State 118 13 -6.05 2.0-*** 8.1-3.9 IA Sun_Belt North Texas 119 8 -6.91 0.0-*** 6.9-4.1 IA Sun_Belt Western Kentucky 120 9 -7.32 0.0-*** 7.3-4.7 IA MAC Eastern Michigan
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 11 2.32 11.0-1.0 8.7-3.3 IAA Colonial Villanova 2 11 2.27 11.0-1.0 8.7-3.3 IAA Colonial Richmond 3 14 1.82 11.0-0.0 9.2-1.8 IAA Big_Sky Montana 4 10 1.35 10.0-1.0 8.7-2.3 IAA Missouri_V Southern Illinois 5 10 1.26 10.0-2.0 8.7-3.3 IAA Colonial William & Mary 6 10 0.62 10.0-2.0 9.4-2.6 IAA Southern Appalachian State 7 9 0.60 10.0-2.0 9.4-2.6 IAA Colonial New Hampshire 8 12 -0.21 9.0-3.0 9.2-2.8 IAA Southern Elon 9 15 -0.23 10.0-2.0 10.2-1.8 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 10 14 -0.40 8.0-2.0 8.4-1.6 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 11 15 -0.42 9.0-2.0 9.4-1.6 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 12 15 -0.47 8.0-1.0 8.5-0.5 IAA SWAC Prairie View 13 18 -0.71 7.0-1.0 7.7-0.3 IAA Pioneer Butler 14 20 -0.72 9.0-1.0 9.7-0.3 IAA Pioneer Dayton 15 20 -0.83 9.0-2.0 9.8-1.2 IAA NE Central Connecticut 16 16 -0.83 8.0-4.0 8.8-3.2 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota State 17 17 -0.95 8.0-3.0 9.0-2.0 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 18 17 -0.96 9.0-2.0 10.0-1.0 IAA Patriot Colgate 19 18 -1.18 9.0-3.0 10.2-1.8 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 20 18 -1.23 8.0-3.0 9.2-1.8 IAA Southland McNeese State 21 18 -1.26 7.0-3.0 8.3-1.7 IAA Big_South Liberty 22 17 -1.40 7.0-4.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Missouri_V Northern Iowa 23 20 -1.40 8.0-3.0 9.4-1.6 IAA Patriot Lafayette 24 18 -1.41 7.0-4.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 25 22 -1.48 8.0-3.0 9.5-1.5 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 26 14 -1.49 6.0-5.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Colonial James Madison 27 20 -1.64 7.0-2.0 8.6-0.4 IAA Indep Old Dominion 28 18 -1.67 7.0-3.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Ivy Harvard 29 13 -1.71 5.0-5.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Colonial Delaware 30 21 -1.79 8.0-4.0 9.8-2.2 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 31 17 -1.84 6.0-5.0 7.8-3.2 IAA Southern Furman 32 18 -1.89 6.0-4.0 7.9-2.1 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 33 20 -2.03 5.0-4.0 7.0-2.0 IAA Great_West North Dakota 34 15 -2.09 6.0-5.0 8.1-2.9 IAA Missouri_V Youngstown State 35 17 -2.15 6.0-5.0 8.2-2.8 IAA Missouri_V Missouri State 36 18 -2.17 7.0-5.0 9.2-2.8 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 37 17 -2.18 5.0-5.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 38 18 -2.19 6.0-5.0 8.2-2.8 IAA Missouri_V Illinois State 39 18 -2.20 6.0-4.0 8.2-1.8 IAA Southland Texas State - San Marcos 40 18 -2.44 5.0-5.0 7.4-2.6 IAA Great_West California - Davis 41 22 -2.57 6.0-3.0 8.6-0.4 IAA Pioneer Drake 42 23 -2.61 7.0-4.0 9.6-1.4 IAA SWAC Grambling 43 16 -2.66 5.0-5.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 44 18 -2.71 6.0-4.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Ivy Brown 45 20 -2.77 5.0-5.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 46 25 -2.82 7.0-4.0 9.8-1.2 IAA NE Albany 47 17 -2.92 5.0-6.0 7.9-3.1 IAA Southern Georgia Southern 48 21 -2.95 6.0-4.0 9.0-1.0 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 49 15 -3.01 5.0-6.0 8.0-3.0 IAA Colonial Massachusetts 50 19 -3.10 5.0-6.0 8.1-2.9 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 51 17 -3.12 4.0-6.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Colonial Maine 52 22 -3.22 6.0-4.0 9.2-0.8 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 53 19 -3.25 4.0-5.0 7.2-1.8 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 54 21 -3.29 5.0-4.0 8.3-0.7 IAA NE Wagner 55 16 -3.30 5.0-6.0 8.3-2.7 IAA Colonial Hofstra 56 21 -3.30 6.0-5.0 9.3-1.7 IAA Big_South Stony Brook 57 23 -3.36 4.0-4.0 7.4-0.6 IAA SWAC Southern 58 17 -3.41 4.0-5.0 7.4-1.6 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 59 18 -3.45 4.0-5.0 7.4-1.6 IAA Great_West South Dakota 60 21 -3.50 6.0-4.0 9.5-0.5 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 61 18 -3.50 4.0-5.0 7.5-1.5 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 62 27 -3.52 3.0-4.0 6.5-0.5 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 63 15 -3.53 4.0-6.0 7.5-2.5 IAA Southern Samford 64 21 -3.60 7.0-4.0 10.6-0.4 IAA Pioneer Marist 65 18 -3.86 5.0-6.0 8.9-2.1 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 66 20 -3.95 6.0-5.0 9.9-1.1 IAA MEAC Morgan State 67 17 -4.04 4.0-6.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Great_West Southern Utah 68 17 -4.06 5.0-6.0 9.1-1.9 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 69 16 -4.11 5.0-6.0 9.1-1.9 IAA Big_South Coastal Carolina 70 15 -4.30 5.0-5.0 9.3-0.7 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 71 13 -4.31 4.0-6.0 8.3-1.7 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 72 15 -4.32 4.0-6.0 8.3-1.7 IAA MEAC Delaware State 73 12 -4.44 4.0-7.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Southern The Citadel 74 15 -4.49 3.0-6.0 7.5-1.5 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 75 13 -4.54 4.0-6.0 8.5-1.5 IAA Ivy Princeton 76 15 -4.58 4.0-6.0 8.6-1.4 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 77 13 -4.63 3.0-7.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Great_West California Poly 78 9 -4.64 3.0-8.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Colonial Northeastern 79 13 -4.75 4.0-6.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Ivy Columbia 80 13 -4.77 4.0-6.0 8.8-1.2 IAA Ivy Yale 81 13 -4.86 3.0-8.0 7.9-3.1 IAA Southern Wofford 82 16 -4.91 5.0-6.0 9.9-1.1 IAA Patriot Fordham 83 17 -5.14 4.0-6.0 9.1-0.9 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 84 17 -5.21 3.0-6.0 8.2-0.8 IAA Pioneer Davidson 85 18 -5.22 4.0-6.0 9.2-0.8 IAA Indep Bryant 86 18 -5.23 5.0-6.0 10.2-0.8 IAA NE Monmouth 87 18 -5.26 5.0-6.0 10.3-0.7 IAA MEAC Hampton 88 13 -5.27 4.0-7.0 9.3-1.7 IAA Patriot Lehigh 89 18 -5.33 5.0-6.0 10.3-0.7 IAA NE Robert Morris 90 11 -5.44 3.0-8.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota State 91 15 -5.48 2.0-7.0 7.5-1.5 IAA Indep North Carolina Central 92 16 -5.53 3.0-7.0 8.5-1.5 IAA Southland Central Arkansas 93 14 -5.55 0.0-6.0 5.5-0.5 IAA Indep Savannah State 94 14 -5.61 3.0-8.0 8.6-2.4 IAA Southland Nicholls State 95 13 -5.62 2.0-6.0 7.6-0.4 IAA SWAC Alabama State 96 13 -5.66 3.0-8.0 8.7-2.3 IAA Big_Sky Northern Colorado 97 14 -5.68 4.0-7.0 9.7-1.3 IAA Patriot Bucknell 98 14 -5.75 3.0-7.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Ohio_V Austin Peay 99 11 -5.78 2.0-9.0 7.8-3.2 IAA Colonial Towson 100 11 -5.96 1.0-9.0 7.0-3.0 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 101 13 -6.03 3.0-7.0 9.0-1.0 IAA SWAC Jackson State 102 13 -6.14 4.0-7.0 10.1-0.9 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 103 10 -6.17 1.0-9.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Missouri_V Indiana State 104 12 -6.18 2.0-8.0 8.2-1.8 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 105 8 -6.42 2.0-9.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Southern Western Carolina 106 10 -6.48 2.0-8.0 8.5-1.5 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 107 13 -6.49 3.0-7.0 9.5-0.5 IAA Pioneer San Diego 108 9 -6.63 1.0-9.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 109 11 -6.65 2.0-7.0 8.6-0.4 IAA Pioneer Campbell 110 8 -6.66 1.0-*** 7.7-3.3 IAA Colonial Rhode Island 111 10 -6.72 2.0-8.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Ivy Cornell 112 9 -6.97 1.0-9.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 113 10 -7.06 2.0-9.0 9.1-1.9 IAA Big_South Virginia Military 114 10 -7.16 1.0-8.0 8.2-0.8 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 115 8 -7.18 1.0-*** 8.2-2.8 IAA Missouri_V Western Illinois 116 10 -7.20 2.0-8.0 9.2-0.8 IAA NE Sacred Heart 117 9 -7.34 3.0-8.0 10.3-0.7 IAA NE Duquesne 118 6 -7.55 2.0-9.0 9.5-1.5 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 119 6 -7.62 2.0-9.0 9.6-1.4 IAA MEAC Howard 120 6 -7.69 0.0-8.0 7.7-0.3 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 121 6 -7.70 2.0-8.0 9.7-0.3 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 122 4 -8.74 0.0-*** 8.7-2.3 IAA Southland Northwestern State 123 3 -9.02 1.0-*** 10.0-1.0 IAA MEAC Winston-Salem 124 3 -9.21 0.0-*** 9.2-1.8 IAA Big_South Presbyterian 125 4 -9.50 0.0-*** 9.5-1.5 IAA Patriot Georgetown
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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